Back to Insights

Where Will ASEAN's Compute Come From?

|MECC Research Unit

ASEAN's AI race requires a rethink of infrastructure inputs. This report maps power, cooling, and deployment feasibility across regional candidates.

**By MECC Research Unit | January 2026**

Context

ASEAN governments are investing in AI R&D, digital services, and smart infrastructure. But few are answering the more fundamental question: where will the compute live?

This report evaluates five ASEAN countries on their ability to host AI-scale compute infrastructure using MECC's Compute Viability Matrix.

---

Compute Viability Matrix (2026)

| Country | Power Surplus | Cooling Advantage | Political Stability | AI Talent Density | Deployment Feasibility | Viability Score | |---------|---------------|-------------------|---------------------|-------------------|------------------------|-----------------| | **Laos** | High | High | Moderate | Low | Fast | 7.2/10 | | **Thailand** | Moderate | Moderate | Stable | Medium | Fast | 8.1/10 | | **Vietnam** | Moderate | Low | Stable | Medium | Moderate | 7.4/10 | | **Indonesia** | Low | Low | Volatile | High | Slow | 6.0/10 | | **Singapore** | Very Low | Very Low | Very Stable | High | Fast | 6.5/10 |

---

Key Findings

  • **Laos** offers unmatched raw inputs (hydropower, cooling, land) but lacks software layers (talent, services).
  • **Thailand** is well-positioned but nearing infrastructure ceilings.
  • **Vietnam** may be ideal for "stage two" capacity if Laos is activated.
  • ---

    Strategy Implication

    Compute deployment in ASEAN may follow a dual-axis model:

    1. **Singapore & Bangkok** = orchestration centers 2. **Laos & Vietnam** = power-fed backends

    A hybrid model could mirror the North America model: "Compute in Oregon, AI labs in San Francisco."

    ---

    Recommendation

    For governments, investors, and infrastructure partners:

  • **Shortlist Laos** for early-stage commitments.
  • **Negotiate MoUs** that lock future power at current rates.
  • **Support layered ecosystems** in Laos with imported talent, modular clusters, and cooling optimization.
  • The future of ASEAN AI will be as much about electrons as algorithms.